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  1. #27
    Join Date
    Oct 2016
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    I have no idea what this thread is about. But the ruskys are nice looking folks.

  2. #28
    Join Date
    May 2007
    Atlanta area
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    Thread Starter
    Russia to Halve Number of Piloted Missions to ISS in 2020
    MOSCOW (Sputnik) - Russia will send only two manned Soyuz spacecraft to the International Space Station (ISS) in 2020, instead of four it has been sending every year since 2009, according to insurance broker RK-Insurance, a subsidiary of Russian State Space Corporation Roscosmos.

    According to RK-Insurance, piloted missions have been scheduled for the second and fourth quarters of 2020.

    In addition to two piloted spacecraft, three Progress-MS space freighters will be sent to the orbital station in 2020.

    Earlier, Space Engineering & Technology, the official journal of Russia's Energia rocket and space corporation, reported Russia's Science-Power and Prichal Nodal modules are expected to be delivered and attached to the International Space Station in 2021 and 2022, respectively, and to later help to form the first building blocks of the country's new space station.

    Russia to reduce manned missions to ISS in 2020
    According to a Roscosmos, Russia will halve the number of manned Soyuz missions it will fly to ISS in 2020, from the normal four per year that they have been doing since 2009 to only two.

    The article provides little additional detail, other than those two flights will be in the second and fourth quarters of the year, and that there will be three Progress freighter launches as well.

    In May the Russians had announced that NASA had agreed to buy two more astronaut tickets on Soyuz. Since then there have been two manned launches, one of which I think was covered by this purchase. If not, then both launches next year are to launch Americans to ISS, and that Russia will not launch otherwise.

    Either way this information tells us two things. First, NASA is probably getting very close to finally approving the manned flights of Dragon and Starliner, after many delays by their safety panel.

    Second, Russia’s reduction in launches suggests that they are short of funds, and can’t launch often without someone buying a ticket. It is unclear what they will do when the U.S. is no longer a customer. I suspect they will fly the minimum number of crew in the fewest flights while still allowing them to maintain their portion of the station. Periodically they will likely add a flight, when they sell a ticket to either a tourist or to another foreign country, as they are doing right now with an Soyuz-flown astronaut from the United Arab Emirates.

    Comment by Dick Eagleson:

    Russia’s slow recessional as a consequential space power continues apace. 2020 will be the first full year with no new NASA revenue for crew seats to ISS. 2021, with the scheduled debut of ULA’s Vulcan, will see the beginning of the end of RD-180 sales for Atlas V. By 2024 that will be entirely gone. That will leave a couple pair of RD-181’s for NGIS’s Antares each year until 2030 when ISS is decommissioned. With new satellite launches for pay already all but gone and declining prospects also for sales of oil and gas or weapons on world markets, Russia is looking at having to get along, starting now, with less than half its accustomed annual space products and services revenue with much of the remainder also to be gone by mid-next-decade and all of it to be gone by the end of the 2020’s.

    For the Russian space industry, Winter is coming. Vostochny may see completion, but will be little-used. The new Federatsiya space capsule may well never fly. Angara looks increasingly problematic to say nothing of fever dreams of a new super heavy lifter. Even the long-delayed “new” Russian ISS modules may never be launched. In the world of press releases we see continued Russian boastfulness and fabulism. In the real world we see ongoing retrenchment.

    The only thing that might stave off eventual failure even of the ability to maintain its current fleets of domestically-oriented Earth-orbiting satellites would be another complete collapse of the ruling Russian regime and promises of renewed sales to the West and other long-term aid in return for, say, the return of Georgian and Ukrainian territory previously seized, abandonment of the Kaliningrad Salient to Lithuania and/or Poland, a complete scrapping of even the current threadbare Russian strategic nuclear forces and perhaps even a complete nuclear disarmament. Achieving Russia’s end as a strategic threat in the world would be worth a reasonable on-going U.S./NATO-funded welfare program for the Russian space industry and even other industries.

    Short of any willingness to stand down as a military threat to the rest of the world, the Russians should be left to their fate as a declining power – space included – going forward.
    Vacuum Technology:
    CRUD = Contamination Resulting in Undesirable Deposits.
    CRAPP = Contamination Resulting in Additional Partial Pressure.

    Change your vacuum pump oil now.

    Test. Testing, 1,2,3.

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