Every week brings a new series of polls - some good, some bad - and always revealing, as different elements of what Americans are thinking get captured.
A USA Today/Gallup poll that came out in the last week had Hillary's favorable at an all-time high of 58/40 - which, by the way, is higher than any recent winning presidential candidate on Election Day. It also had her increasing her vote share in the Democratic primary from 29 to 40 percent, with her opponents showing little movement.
This poll - like just about every poll - has the horserace for president at a statistical tie or better. When people ask me, "Can she win?," I tell them she is already winning in the polls. Going forward, we may have many twists and turns - but Hillary has already shown that just by getting in, she is well positioned to win. And, as she says, she is battle-tested, and knows how the Republicans think and how to beat them.
Three other points worth noting from recent polls:
The sentiment that Hillary won't win is dropping fast - down from 71 percent to 51 percent in just a few short weeks. This is an argument that is rapidly falling away as people see her.
Belief that America is ready for the first woman president is rising, from barely a majority this time last year (CBS / New York Times, Jan 06) to fully 2/3 of Americans today (Times Union / Siena, Feb 07).
And finally, it is important to distinguish all the hoopla around this election from who is gaining ground. The press always wants to make a race, and they have been giving all the campaigns a lot of publicity. And buzz always circles around. In poll after poll, Hillary has moved up, and either maintained or widened her lead. In Gallup she went up from 29 to 40, and in a new WNBC/Marist poll her 21 point lead became a 20 point lead in the primary to the next potential opponent. She is scoring the most points with those who count the most: the voters. Of course there will be a lot of ups and downs through this process, but for now, you have to ask for her opponents, "Where's the bump?"